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2023
1 Juanchich, Marie; Sirota, Miroslav; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
People prefer to predict middle, most likely quantitative outcomes (not extreme ones), but they still over-estimate their likelihood. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology (QJEP) 2023 s. -21
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2 Juanchich, Marie; Sirota, Miroslav; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Which outcome do people prefer to predict based on a distribution of possible outcomes? —. SPUDM 2023; 2023-08-20 - 2023-08-25
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3 Løhre, Erik; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
When leaders disclose uncertainty: Effects of expressing internal and external uncertainty about a decision. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology (QJEP) 2023 s. -
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4 Magnussen, Svein; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Hvorfor tror retten på kriminelle informanter?. Lov og Rett 2023 ;Volum 62.(1) s. 37-48
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5 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Juanchich, Marie.
A chance is better than its probability. EASP General meeting; 2023-07-01 - 2023-07-04
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6 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Juanchich, Marie; Løhre, Erik.
The probability of “likely”. Do standards of verbal probabilities make sense for graded or multiple outcomes?. SPUDM 2023; 2023-08-20 - 2023-08-25
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2022
7 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Judgments by representativeness. I: Cognitive illusions, 3rd ed.. Routledge 2022 ISBN 9780367724245.
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8 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Kanten, Alf Børre.
Out of the blue: on the suddenness of perceived chance events. Thinking and Reasoning 2022 s. -
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9 Teigen, Karl-Halvor.
Dimensions of uncertainty communication: What is conveyed by verbal terms and numeric ranges. Current Psychology 2022
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10 Teigen, Karl-Halvor; Juanchich, Marie; Løhre, Erik.
Combining verbal forecasts: The role of directionality and the reinforcement effect. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2022 s. 1-13
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11 Teigen, Karl-Halvor; Juanchich, Marie; Løhre, Erik.
What is a “likely” amount? Representative (modal) values are considered likely even when their probabilities are low. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 2022 ;Volum 171. s. -
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2021
12 Løhre, Erik; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Effects of expressing external and internal uncertainty on perceived leadership competence and honesty. SPDUM - Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making; 2021-08-22 - 2021-08-24
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13 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Luck. I: Encyclopedia of Quality of Life and Well-Being Research. Springer Nature 2021 ISBN 978-3-319-69909-7. s. -
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14 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Juanchich, Marie; Løhre, Erik.
A “likely” quantity is a “most likely” quantity, but not as likely as we like to think. Canadian Society for Brain, Behaviour and Cognitive Science: Annual Meeting; 2021-06-17 - 2021-06-19
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2020
15 Larsen, Kim Sverre; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Historien om den ungarske selvmordsangen Gloomy Sunday. Tidsskrift for Norsk Psykologforening 2020 ;Volum 57.(9) s. 690-692
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16 Løhre, Erik; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
How to admit uncertainty and still be trusted: External and internal uncertainty and the confidence heuristic. Society for Judgment and Decision Making 41st Annual Conference; 2020-12-09 - 2020-12-12
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17 Magnussen, Svein; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Kognitive snarveier og slagsider i vurdering av bevis. Lov og Rett 2020 ;Volum 59.(1) s. 19-42
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18 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Historien om svensk eksperimentalpsykologi: En nabos betraktninger. I: Historien om svensk psykologisk forskning. Utvecklingen från perception och psykofysik. Kungl. Vitterhets Historie och Antikvitets Akademien 2020 ISBN 9789188763167. s. 163-173
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19 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
‘The concept of correlation in adults’ comes of age. I: Respect for Thought: Jan Smedslund’s Legacy for Psychology. Springer 2020 ISBN 978-3-030-43065-8. s. 55-68
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20 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Keren, Gideon.
Are random events perceived as rare? On the relationship between perceived randomness and outcome probability. Memory & Cognition 2020 ;Volum 48.(2) s. 299-313
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2019
21 Løhre, Erik; Juanchich, Marie; Sirota, Miroslav; Teigen, Karl Halvor; Shepherd, Theodore G..
Climate scientists' wide prediction intervals may be more likely but are perceived to be less certain. Weather, Climate, and Society 2019 ;Volum 11.(3) s. 565-575
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22 Løhre, Erik; Sobkow, Agata; Hohle, Sigrid Møyner; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Framing experts' (dis)agreements about uncertain environmental events. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2019 ;Volum 32. s. 564-578
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23 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Luck and risk. I: The Routledge Handbook of the Philosophy and Psychology of Luck. Taylor & Francis 2019 ISBN 9780815366591. s. 345-355
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24 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Out of the blue: Lay perceptions of singular random events. Research seminar; 2019-05-02 - 2019-05-02
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25 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Terningen er rund: Hvordan folk tenker om sannsynligheter og tilfeldigheter. Forskningsdagen Psykologisk fakultet; 2019-11-29 - 2019-11-29
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26 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
The taming of uncertainty: How we make sense of chance by words and numbers. International conference on uncertainty in risk analysis; 2019-02-20 - 2019-02-22
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27 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Unlikely, small and sudden - Lay perceptions of singular random events. Research seminar; 2019-02-27
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28 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Usikre prognoser: Folks tolkninger av hva eksperter sier om vær og klima. Fagseminar Meteorologisk institutt; 2019-11-27 - 2019-11-27
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29 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Andersen, Bjørn Sørskot; Alnes, Sigurd Lerkerød; Hesselberg, Jan Ole.
Entirely possible overruns: How people think and talk about probabilistic cost estimates. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business 2019 ;Volum 13.(2) s. 293-311
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30 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Hohle, Sigrid Møyner; Løhre, Erik.
Uncertain statements about climate change: What do they tell the public?. CeCAR Lunch Seminar; 2019-10-04 - 2019-10-04
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31 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Kanten, Alf Børre.
Are random events expected to be small?. Psychological Research 2019
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32 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Keren, Gideon.
Do people think of random outcomes as unlikely?. SPUDM 2019; 2019-08-18 - 2019-08-22
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33 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Keren, Gideon; Kanten, Alf Børre.
Are random events rare and small? Intuitive connotations of perceived chance events. Social Psychology and Community Psychology in Norway; 2019-10-23 - 2019-10-25
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34 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Løhre, Erik; Hohle, Sigrid Møyner.
Hva ligger i et anslag? Folks tolkninger av hva klimaforskerne sier. CSN-konferanse 2019; 2019-09-10 - 2019-09-10
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2018
35 Hohle, Sigrid Møyner; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
More than 50% or Less than 70% Chance: Pragmatic Implications of Single-Bound Probability Estimates. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2018 ;Volum 31.(1) s. 138-150
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36 Hohle, Sigrid Møyner; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
When probabilities change: Perceptions and implications of trends in uncertain climate forecasts. Journal of Risk Research 2018 ;Volum 22.(5) s. 595-569
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37 Manolchev, Constantine; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Counterfactual theory as an under-utilised analytical framework for studying precarious work experiences. Personnel Review 2018 ;Volum 48.(1) s. 288-302
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38 Nilsen, Connie Villemo; Friborg, Oddgeir; Teigen, Karl Halvor; Svartdal, Frode.
Textual health warning labels on snus (Swedish moist snuff): do they affect risk perception?. BMC Public Health 2018 ;Volum 18.(564)
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39 Nordbye, Gro Hege Haraldsen; Riege, Anine H.; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Better safe than sorry: Risking irresponsibility by seeking uncertainty.. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2018 ;Volum 31.(1) s. 87-99
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40 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
How are experts' uncertainty intervals perceived by non-experts?. Concept Symposium 2018; 2018-09-06 - 2018-09-07
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41 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
The language of uncertainty - after 30 years. SWPS - University of Social Sciences and Humanities; 2018-05-22 - 2018-05-22
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42 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
The unbearable lightness of finger movements: Commentary to Dolinski. Psychologia Społeczna 2018 ;Volum 13.(2)
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43 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
The Unbearable Lightness of Finger Movements: Commentary to Doliński. Psychologia Społeczna 2018 ;Volum 13.(2) s. -
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44 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
Vurdering: lite sannsynlig. Verbale (u)sannsynligheter gjennom 30 år.. Psykologisk tidsskrift 2018 ;Volum 22.(2) s. 58-65
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45 Teigen, Karl Halvor.
When science turns against itself: A historical perspective on the replication crisis in social psychology. The 19th Conference on Social and Community Psychology; 2018-11-22 - 2018-11-23
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46 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Andersen, Bjørn; Alnes, Sigurd Lerkerød.
Hvordan oppfattes og omtales usikre kostnadsestimater?. Trondheim: Concept 2018 33 s.
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47 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Filkukova, Petra; Hohle, Sigrid Møyner.
It can become 5 °C warmer: The extremity effect in climate forecasts. Journal of experimental psychology. Applied 2018 ;Volum 24.(1) s. 3-17
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48 Teigen, Karl Halvor; Løhre, Erik; Hohle, Sigrid Møyner.
The boundary effect: Perceived post hoc accuracy of prediction intervals. Judgment and decision making 2018 ;Volum 13.(4) s. 309-321
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2017
49 Bruckmüller, Susanne; Hegarty, Peter; Teigen, Karl Halvor; Böhm, Gisela; Luminet, Olivier.
When do past events require explanation? Insights from social psychology. Memory Studies 2017 ;Volum 10.(3) s. 261-273
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50 Hohle, Sigrid Møyner; Teigen, Karl Halvor.
The trend effect: When a forecast is revised, people believe it will continue changing. I: Outlooks on Applying Environmental Psychology Research. Bonn: Bundesamt für Naturschutz 2017 ISBN 978-3-89624-197-9. s. 35-41
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